Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.020716 0.022263 0.023871 0.025668 0.027621 0.029682 0.032023
2026-01-18 0.018148 0.020375 0.022808 0.025668 0.028946 0.032596 0.036981
2026-01-25 0.016537 0.019176 0.022166 0.025819 0.030179 0.035237 0.041583
2026-02-01 0.015124 0.017993 0.021341 0.025558 0.030758 0.036998 0.045112
2026-02-08 0.013915 0.016915 0.020503 0.025141 0.031023 0.038290 0.048038
2026-02-15 0.013018 0.016128 0.019931 0.024963 0.031506 0.039807 0.051262
2026-02-22 0.012209 0.015385 0.019345 0.024695 0.031812 0.041059 0.054156
2026-03-01 0.011538 0.014766 0.018865 0.024511 0.032181 0.042371 0.057161
2026-03-08 0.010944 0.014207 0.018421 0.024330 0.032515 0.043621 0.060116
2026-03-15 0.010500 0.013818 0.018171 0.024381 0.033147 0.045285 0.063722
2026-03-22 0.010038 0.013376 0.017820 0.024263 0.033518 0.046578 0.066840
2026-03-29 0.009634 0.012992 0.017525 0.024196 0.033943 0.047950 0.070131
2026-04-05 0.009276 0.012669 0.017316 0.024268 0.034612 0.049772 0.074316
2026-04-12 0.008924 0.012337 0.017082 0.024292 0.035212 0.051528 0.078532
2026-04-19 0.008636 0.012083 0.016941 0.024439 0.035994 0.053592 0.083358
2026-04-26 0.008256 0.011675 0.016556 0.024194 0.036152 0.054684 0.086658
2026-05-03 0.007864 0.011231 0.016093 0.023803 0.036052 0.055346 0.089267
2026-05-10 0.007560 0.010903 0.015788 0.023636 0.036289 0.056551 0.092854
2026-05-17 0.007254 0.010559 0.015443 0.023384 0.036369 0.057492 0.096032
2026-05-24 0.006988 0.010264 0.015157 0.023211 0.036563 0.058620 0.099599
2026-05-31 0.006739 0.009985 0.014884 0.023041 0.036747 0.059733 0.103197
2026-06-07 0.006556 0.009801 0.014750 0.023089 0.037294 0.061491 0.108087
2026-06-14 0.006347 0.009568 0.014527 0.022977 0.037560 0.062762 0.112141